Guotai CSI Coal ETF (515220) Rises 1.32% in Early Trading; Coal Prices Expected to Continue Rising Amid Intensifying External Shocks

NewTimeSpace News - As of 09:40 on April 2, 2026, the Guotai Coal ETF (515220) rose 1.32%, with its latest price reaching 1.23 yuan. Looking at a longer timeframe, as of April 1, 2026, the ETF has accumulated a gain of 18.00% over the past three months. (The stocks listed above are solely index constituents and do not constitute specific investment recommendations.)

In terms of liquidity, the Guotai Coal ETF recorded an intraday turnover rate of 1% and a trading volume of 97.6922 million yuan. Looking at a longer timeframe, as of April 1, the ETF's average daily trading volume reached 1.19 billion yuan over the past month.

Regarding fund size, the Guotai Coal ETF's latest AUM stands at 9.746 billion yuan. (Data source: Wind)

For capital flows, the Guotai Coal ETF recorded a net outflow of 333 million yuan in the latest session. Looking at a longer timeframe, over the past 10 trading days, 7 days saw net inflows, with a total of 418 million yuan attracted, representing an average daily net inflow of 41.8301 million yuan. (Data source: Wind)

Data indicates continued positioning by leveraged funds. The Guotai Coal ETF recorded a margin purchase of 29.63 million yuan in the latest session, with its latest margin balance reaching 120 million yuan. (Data source: Wind)

As of April 1, the Guotai Coal ETF has gained 108.23% over the past 5 years, ranking 32nd among 1,167 equity index funds, placing it in the top 2.74%. In terms of return capability, as of April 1, 2026, since its inception, the ETF has achieved a maximum monthly return of 30.48%, a maximum consecutive rising period of 8 months, a maximum consecutive gain of 91.06%, a rising-to-falling month ratio of 46/28, an average monthly return of 6.14% during rising months, an annual profit percentage of 80.00%, and an 82.83% probability of profit for historical 2-year holdings. As of April 1, 2026, the Guotai Coal ETF has outperformed its benchmark by 7.75% in annualized returns since inception.

Regarding drawdown, as of April 1, 2026, the Guotai Coal ETF's maximum drawdown this year was 8.83%, with a relative benchmark drawdown of 0.16%.

In terms of fee structure, the Guotai Coal ETF charges a management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10%.

For tracking accuracy, as of April 1, 2026, the Guotai Coal ETF's tracking error over the past month was 0.006%.

The Guotai Coal ETF closely tracks the CSI Coal Index, which selects listed companies engaged in coal mining, coal processing, and related businesses as index constituents to reflect the overall performance of coal-related listed companies.

On the news front, amid intensifying external shocks and expectations of reduced imported coal volumes, coal prices are expected to continue rising. The sustainability of the upward trend requires close attention to the persistence of Indonesian coal supply disruptions, the impact of US-Iran conflicts, port inventory accumulation, and the release of non-electric traditional peak season procurement demand.

Guohai Securities noted that from a broad perspective, the supply-side constraint logic for the coal mining industry remains unchanged, while demand may fluctuate in stages, with prices also showing certain volatility and dynamic rebalancing.

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