Guotai CSI Coal ETF(515220) Falls Nearly 2% in Early Trading as Middle East Tensions Ease; US Proposes One-Month Ceasefire Plan

NewTimeSpace News - As of 11:04 on March 25, 2026, the Guotai Coal ETF (515220) fell 1.87%, with its latest price at 1.26 yuan. Looking at a longer timeframe, as of March 24, 2026, the ETF has accumulated a gain of 2.06% over the past week. (The stocks listed above are solely index constituents and do not constitute specific investment recommendations.)

In terms of liquidity, the Guotai Coal ETF recorded an intraday turnover rate of 5.8% and a trading volume of 605 million yuan. Looking at a longer timeframe, as of March 24, the ETF's average daily trading volume reached 1.229 billion yuan over the past month.

Regarding fund size, the Guotai Coal ETF's latest AUM stands at 10.682 billion yuan, hitting a new high for the past 3 months. (Data source: Wind)

In terms of capital flows, the Guotai Coal ETF has recorded continuous net inflows over the past 5 days, with a maximum single-day net inflow of 340 million yuan, totaling 832 million yuan attracted, representing an average daily net inflow of 166 million yuan. (Data source: Wind)

Data indicates continued positioning by leveraged funds. The Guotai Coal ETF recorded a margin purchase of 40.85 million yuan in the latest session, with its latest margin balance reaching 137 million yuan. (Data source: Wind)

As of March 24, the Guotai Coal ETF has gained 133.14% over the past 5 years, ranking 18th among 1,163 equity index funds, placing it in the top 1.55%. In terms of return capability, as of March 24, 2026, since its inception, the ETF has achieved a maximum monthly return of 30.48%, a maximum consecutive rising period of 8 months, a maximum consecutive gain of 91.06%, a rising-to-falling month ratio of 45/28, an average monthly return of 6.25% during rising months, an annual profit percentage of 80.00%, and an 82.72% probability of profit for historical 2-year holdings. As of March 24, 2026, the Guotai Coal ETF has outperformed its benchmark by 7.86% in annualized returns since inception.

Regarding drawdown, as of March 24, 2026, the Guotai Coal ETF's maximum drawdown this year was 6.16%, with a relative benchmark drawdown of 0.16%. The recovery period after drawdown was 2 days.

In terms of fee structure, the Guotai Coal ETF charges a management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10%.

For tracking accuracy, as of March 24, 2026, the Guotai Coal ETF's tracking error over the past month was 0.007%.

The Guotai Coal ETF closely tracks the CSI Coal Index, which selects listed companies engaged in coal mining, coal processing, and related businesses as index constituents to reflect the overall performance of coal-related listed companies.

On the news front, recently, international crude oil prices have surged significantly due to localized geopolitical friction, with expectations of energy supply contraction rapidly transmitting to the coal market. Overnight, Middle East tensions showed signs of easing as the US expressed intention to propose a one-month ceasefire plan to facilitate discussions with Iran on a 15-point agreement aimed at ending the war.

GF Securities noted that the coal industry's supply-demand balance is expected to shift from loose to balanced-to-tight in 2026. Meanwhile, affected by the Middle East situation, global energy prices and coal demand are further boosted, while import coal costs have also increased, making coal profitability and valuation elasticity promising.

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