Guotai CSI Coal ETF (515220) Rises 1.10% in Early Trading; Institutions: Uncontrollable Geopolitical Factors Drive Elevated Short-Term Market Sentiment

NewTimeSpace News - As of 09:37 on March 30, 2026, the Guotai Coal ETF (515220) rose 1.10%, with its latest price reaching 1.29 yuan. Looking at a longer timeframe, as of March 27, 2026, the ETF has accumulated a gain of 6.24% over the past month. (The stocks listed above are solely index constituents and do not constitute specific investment recommendations.)

In terms of liquidity, the Guotai Coal ETF recorded an intraday turnover rate of 0.86% and a trading volume of 94.8442 million yuan. Looking at a longer timeframe, as of March 27, the ETF's average daily trading volume reached 1.253 billion yuan over the past month.

Regarding fund size, the Guotai Coal ETF's latest AUM stands at 10.918 billion yuan, hitting a new high for the past 3 months. (Data source: Wind)

In terms of fund shares, the Guotai Coal ETF's latest share count reached 8.566 billion shares, hitting a new high for the past month. (Data source: Wind)

For capital flows, the Guotai Coal ETF recorded a net inflow of 98.7125 million yuan in the latest session. Looking at a longer timeframe, over the past 5 trading days, 4 days saw net inflows, with a total of 831 million yuan attracted, representing an average daily net inflow of 166 million yuan. (Data source: Wind)

Data indicates continued positioning by leveraged funds. The Guotai Coal ETF recorded a net margin purchase of 2.0253 million yuan on the previous trading day, with its latest margin balance reaching 138 million yuan. (Data source: Wind)

As of March 27, the Guotai Coal ETF has gained 125.89% over the past 5 years, ranking 22nd among 1,164 equity index funds, placing it in the top 1.89%. In terms of return capability, as of March 27, 2026, since its inception, the ETF has achieved a maximum monthly return of 30.48%, a maximum consecutive rising period of 8 months, a maximum consecutive gain of 91.06%, a rising-to-falling month ratio of 45/28, an average monthly return of 6.25% during rising months, an annual profit percentage of 80.00%, and an 82.78% probability of profit for historical 2-year holdings. As of March 27, 2026, the Guotai Coal ETF has outperformed its benchmark by 7.83% in annualized returns since inception.

Regarding drawdown, as of March 27, 2026, the Guotai Coal ETF's maximum drawdown this year was 6.16%, with a relative benchmark drawdown of 0.16%. The recovery period after drawdown was 2 days.

In terms of fee structure, the Guotai Coal ETF charges a management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10%.

For tracking accuracy, as of March 27, 2026, the Guotai Coal ETF's tracking error over the past month was 0.006%.

The Guotai Coal ETF closely tracks the CSI Coal Index, which selects listed companies engaged in coal mining, coal processing, and related businesses as index constituents to reflect the overall performance of coal-related listed companies.

Guotai Haitong Securities stated that elevated short-term market sentiment centers on the uncontrollable nature of geopolitical factors. With Qatar's natural gas liquefaction facilities destroyed, it is highly probable that natural gas will maintain a tight balance over the coming year. Sustained high natural gas prices and supply constraints will boost international coal demand, effectively accelerating the timeline for the "global energy supercycle" over the next 5-10 years that the firm has consistently emphasized. In the short term, the reality of domestic off-season strength may lead to earlier summer restocking, while overseas volatility will largely depend on the extent of Indonesian export reductions and the duration of conflicts. The firm reiterates its strategic bullish view on the energy supercycle for the next 5-10 years.

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