Institution: High YoY Base Pressure Remains in March,Cautious Optimism Prevails; China Universal CSI Consumer Staples ETF(159928) Sees Intense Long-Short Tug-of-War Intraday

NewTimeSpace News,As of 14:08 on March 20, 2026, the China Universal CSI Consumer Staples ETF(159928) witnessed an intense long-short tug-of-war intraday, with a latest quote of RMB 0.77, an intraday turnover rate of 1.08% and a trading volume of RMB 231 million. It posted a cumulative increase of 1.85% in the past two weeks.

NewTimeSpace News: As of 14:08 on March 20, 2026, the CSI Main Consumer Index (000932) edged down 0.18%. Its constituent stocks saw a mixed performance of rises and falls: COFCO Sugar led the gains with an increase of 2.50%, Gujing Distillery rose 1.47% and Chongqing Brewery climbed 0.90%; while Meihua Biomass led the declines with a drop of 2.95%, Yangyuan Drinks fell 2.64% and Adisseo declined 2.24%. TheChina Universal CSI Consumer Staples ETF(159928) saw an intense long-short tug-of-war intraday, with a latest price of RMB 0.77. Over a longer period, as of March 19, 2026, the ETF had a cumulative increase of 1.85% in the past two weeks. (The stocks listed above are only constituent stocks of the index and do not constitute any specific investment recommendation.)

In terms of liquidity, theChina Universal CSI Consumer Staples ETFrecorded an intraday turnover rate of 1.08% with a trading volume of RMB 231 million. As of March 19, its average daily trading volume reached RMB 545 million in the past week, ranking first among comparable funds.

In terms of scale, theChina Universal CSI Consumer Staples ETFachieved a remarkable growth with a scale increase of RMB 6.342 billion in the past year, ranking the top 20% among comparable funds in terms of newly added scale. (Data source: Wind)

In terms of shares, theChina Universal CSI Consumer Staples ETFsaw a significant rise with a share increase of 1.316 billion in the past three months, ranking the top 20% among comparable funds in terms of newly added shares. (Data source: Wind)

Data showed that leveraged funds have been continuously building positions in the ETF. The net margin purchase amount of theChina Universal CSI Consumer Staples ETFreached RMB 4.4492 million on the previous trading day, with the latest margin balance standing at RMB 440 million. (Data source: Wind)

In terms of earnings capacity, as of March 19, 2026, since its establishment, theChina Universal CSI Consumer Staples ETFhas achieved a maximum monthly return of 24.60%, a longest consecutive rising streak of 10 months with a cumulative increase of 49.28% during the period, and a rise-fall month ratio of 85:65. It posted an average yield of 5.78% in rising months, with a 71.65% probability of profit for a 3-year historical holding. As of March 19, 2026, the ETF had an annualized return of 2.72% outperforming the benchmark in the past year.

In terms of drawdown, as of March 19, 2026, the maximum drawdown of theChina Universal CSI Consumer Staples ETFwas 6.59% year-to-date, with a drawdown of 0.06% relative to the benchmark, representing a relatively low drawdown risk among comparable funds.

On the fee front, theChina Universal CSI Consumer Staples ETFhas a management fee rate of 0.50% and a custodian fee rate of 0.10%, the lowest among comparable funds.

In terms of tracking accuracy, as of March 19, 2026, the tracking error of theChina Universal CSI Consumer Staples ETFwas 0.025% in the past three months, the highest in tracking accuracy among comparable funds.

From a valuation perspective, the latest trailing twelve months price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) of the CSI Main Consumer Index tracked by theChina Universal CSI Consumer Staples ETFstands at only 19.15 times, at the 9.97% quantile over the past three years. This means the valuation is lower than that in more than 90.03% of the time in the past three years, hovering at a historically low level.

TheChina Universal CSI Consumer Staples ETFclosely tracks the CSI Main Consumer Index. Designed to reflect the overall performance of securities of companies in different industries within the CSI 800 Index sample and provide an analytical tool for investors, the CSI 800 Index sample is divided into 11 first-level industries and 35 second-level industries according to the CSI Industry Classification. Indices are then compiled with all securities in each first and second-level industry as samples, forming the CSI 800 Industry Indices.

Data showed that as of February 27, 2026, the top 10 weight stocks of the CSI Main Consumer Index (000932) were Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye Yibin, Yili Group, Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuffs, Luzhou Laojiao, Shanxi Fenjiu, Haitian Flavoring & Food, Dongpeng Beverage and Haida Group, accounting for a total of 67.46% of the index's weight. (The stocks listed above are only constituent stocks of the index and do not constitute any specific investment recommendation.)

CGS stated, citing data from the Ministry of Commerce, that as of March 15, the trade-in program for consumer goods had recorded cumulative sales of 47.623 million relevant products in 2026, a year-on-year increase of 15.3%, driving sales revenue of RMB 323.26 billion, a year-on-year rise of 3.2%. Against this backdrop, the growth rates of the involved categories have generally improved, yet the sector still faces pressure from a high year-on-year comparison base starting from March, warranting a cautious stance.

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