Guotai CSI Coal ETF (515220) Surges 5.42% in Early Trading; Institutions: Coal Economy in Early Stage of New Cycle Upturn

NewTimeSpace News: As of 09:39 on March 9, 2026, Coal ETF (515220) rose 5.42%, with the latest price at 1.3 yuan.In terms of liquidity, Coal ETF recorded an intraday turnover rate of 3.12%, with trading volume reaching 340 million yuan. Looking at a longer time frame, as of March 6, the ETF's average daily trading volume over the past week was 1.357 billion yuan. In terms of scale, Coal ETF's latest assets under management reached 10.298 billion yuan.

NewTimeSpace News: As of 09:39 on March 9, 2026, Coal ETF (515220) rose 5.42%, with the latest price at 1.3 yuan. Looking at a longer time frame, as of March 6, 2026, Coal ETF has cumulatively increased 2.91% over the past week. (The stocks listed above are index constituents only, with no specific recommendation intended.)

In terms of liquidity, Coal ETF recorded an intraday turnover rate of 3.12%, with trading volume reaching 340 million yuan. Looking at a longer time frame, as of March 6, the ETF's average daily trading volume over the past week was 1.357 billion yuan. (Data source: Wind)

In terms of scale, Coal ETF's latest assets under management reached 10.298 billion yuan. (Data source: Wind)

Regarding capital flows, Coal ETF recorded a net capital outflow of 51.0009 million yuan most recently. Looking at a longer time frame, over the past 5 trading days, there were 3 days of net capital inflows, totaling 623 million yuan in "capital attraction," with an average daily net inflow of 125 million yuan. (Data source: Wind)

Data shows that leveraged funds continue to build positions. Coal ETF's latest margin purchase amount reached 58.7005 million yuan, with the latest margin balance at 233 million yuan. (Data source: Wind)

As of March 6, Coal ETF's net value has risen 114.89% over the past five years, ranking 19th out of 1,146 index equity funds, placing it in the top 1.66%. In terms of return capability, as of March 6, 2026, since its inception, Coal ETF's highest monthly return was 30.48%, the longest consecutive rising period was 8 months, the longest consecutive rising gain was 91.06%, the ratio of rising to falling months was 45/28, the average return rate during rising months was 6.25%, the annual profit percentage was 80.00%, and the historical 2-year holding profit probability was 82.62%. As of March 6, 2026, Coal ETF's annualized excess return over the benchmark since inception was 7.88%.

As of March 6, 2026, Coal ETF's Sharpe ratio over the past month was 1.71.

In terms of drawdown, as of March 6, 2026, Coal ETF's maximum drawdown year-to-date was 6.16%, with a relative benchmark drawdown of 0.12%. The recovery period after drawdown was 2 days.

In terms of fees, Coal ETF has a management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10%.

In terms of tracking accuracy, as of March 6, 2026, Coal ETF's tracking error over the past three months was 0.007%.

Coal ETF closely tracks the CSI Coal Index. The CSI Coal Index selects listed company securities involved in coal mining, coal processing, and other businesses as index samples to reflect the overall performance of coal-related listed company securities.

Cinda Securities stated that we are currently in the early stage of a new cycle upturn in the coal economy, with fundamentals and policy resonating, making this an appropriate time to allocate to the coal sector on dips. As the thermal coal consumption off-season approaches, northern port inventories continue to accumulate, and market downward expectations have somewhat warmed. However, the downward space for coal prices is expected to be relatively limited, supported by two main factors: first, geopolitical conflicts may push up international energy prices and coal substitution demand, with high oil prices potentially boosting domestic coal chemical coal consumption demand; second, imported coal costs remain relatively high, which is expected to support domestic coal prices. Overall, although coal prices face adjustment pressure during the April-May off-season, the callback magnitude may be relatively limited, with optimism for the coal sector's valuation repair and revaluation.

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