Guotai CSI Coal ETF (515220) Falls 1.67%; Institutions: Expected 2026 Coal Supply-Demand to Shift from Loose to Balanced-Tight
NewTimeSpace News: As of 11:13 on March 5, 2026, Coal ETF (515220) fell 1.67%, with the latest price at 1.23 yuan. Looking at a longer time frame, as of March 4, 2026, Coal ETF has cumulatively increased 6.63% over the past week. (The stocks listed above are index constituents only, with no specific recommendation intended.)
In terms of liquidity, Coal ETF recorded an intraday turnover rate of 5.26%, with trading volume reaching 538 million yuan. Looking at a longer time frame, as of March 4, the ETF's average daily trading volume over the past week was 1.216 billion yuan. (Data source: Wind)
In terms of scale, Coal ETF's latest assets under management reached 10.48 billion yuan. (Data source: Wind)
Regarding capital flows, Coal ETF recorded a net capital outflow of 4.338 million yuan most recently. Looking at a longer time frame, over the past 5 trading days, there were 3 days of net capital inflows, totaling 516 million yuan in "capital attraction," with an average daily net inflow of 103 million yuan. (Data source: Wind)
Data shows that leveraged funds continue to build positions. Coal ETF's latest margin purchase amount reached 76.3921 million yuan, with the latest margin balance at 333 million yuan. (Data source: Wind)
As of March 4, Coal ETF's net value has risen 113.26% over the past five years, ranking 19th out of 1,145 index equity funds, placing it in the top 1.66%. In terms of return capability, as of March 4, 2026, since its inception, Coal ETF's highest monthly return was 30.48%, the longest consecutive rising period was 8 months, the longest consecutive rising gain was 91.06%, the ratio of rising to falling months was 45/28, the average return rate during rising months was 6.25%, the annual profit percentage was 80.00%, and the historical 2-year holding profit probability was 82.68%. As of March 4, 2026, Coal ETF's annualized excess return over the benchmark since inception was 7.91%.
As of February 27, 2026, Coal ETF's Sharpe ratio over the past month was 1.07.
In terms of drawdown, as of March 4, 2026, Coal ETF's maximum drawdown year-to-date was 6.16%, with a relative benchmark drawdown of 0.12%. The recovery period after drawdown was 2 days.
In terms of fees, Coal ETF has a management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10%.
In terms of tracking accuracy, as of March 4, 2026, Coal ETF's tracking error over the past three months was 0.007%.
Coal ETF closely tracks the CSI Coal Index. The CSI Coal Index selects listed company securities involved in coal mining, coal processing, and other businesses as index samples to reflect the overall performance of coal-related listed company securities.
GF Securities stated that 2026 coal supply-demand is expected to shift from loose to balanced-tight. On one hand, on the supply side, domestic production growth may significantly decline compared to earlier periods, while Indonesian export and production expectations falling will further impact global and domestic supply. On the other hand, on the demand side, there is also considerable room for improvement in 2026. The 2026 coal price center is expected to steadily recover. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the 2025 coal mining industry total profit was 352 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 42%. Industry profit expectations for 2026 are expected to improve, with the sector's valuation and dividend yield advantages being evident.
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