Memory Chip Prices Expected to Continue Strong Rally in Q1 2026, Guotai CSI Semiconductor Material Equipment Theme ETF (159516) Pulls Back Nearly 1%

NewTimeSpace News - As of 14:24 on January 9, 2026, Semiconductor Equipment Materials ETF (159516) fell 0.83%, with the latest quote at 1.79 yuan. Over a longer timeframe, as of January 8, 2026, the ETF accumulated a 16.98% gain over the past week. (The stocks listed above are index constituents only and do not constitute specific recommendations.)

In terms of liquidity, Semiconductor Equipment Materials ETF recorded an intraday turnover rate of 15.42% and trading volume of 1.794 billion yuan, indicating active market trading. Over a longer period, as of January 8, its average daily trading volume reached 1.765 billion yuan over the past week, ranking first among comparable funds.

Scale-wise, Semiconductor Equipment Materials ETF's latest AUM reached 11.762 billion yuan, hitting a one-year high and ranking 1st out of 5 comparable funds. (Data source: Wind)

In terms of shares outstanding, the ETF's latest share count reached 6.519 billion units, hitting a one-year high and ranking 1st out of 5 comparable funds. (Data source: Wind)

Regarding capital flows, Semiconductor Equipment Materials ETF saw consecutive net capital inflows for the past 11 days, with the highest single-day net inflow of 343 million yuan, totaling 2.390 billion yuan in "capital absorption," with an average daily net inflow of 217 million yuan. (Data source: Wind)

Data shows leveraged funds continue to build positions. Semiconductor Equipment Materials ETF's latest margin purchase reached 139 million yuan, with the latest margin balance at 558 million yuan. (Data source: Wind)

As of January 8, Semiconductor Equipment Materials ETF's NAV rose 117.84% over the past two years, ranking 105th out of 2,501 index stock funds (top 4.20%). In terms of return capability, as of January 9, 2026, since its inception, the ETF's highest monthly return was 25.44%, longest consecutive up months was 4, longest consecutive gain was 57.08%, average return in up months was 9.92%, annual profitability rate was 100.00%, and historical 2-year holding profitability probability was 100.00%. As of January 9, 2026, its excess return over benchmark since inception was 1.71% annualized.

On drawdowns, as of January 9, 2026, Semiconductor Equipment Materials ETF's year-to-date maximum drawdown was 0.52%, with a relative benchmark drawdown of 0.04%.

In terms of fees, Semiconductor Equipment Materials ETF charges a management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10%, the lowest among comparable funds.

Regarding tracking accuracy, as of January 9, 2026, Semiconductor Equipment Materials ETF's two-year tracking error was 0.026%, the highest tracking precision among comparable funds.

Semiconductor Equipment Materials ETF closely tracks the CSI Semiconductor Materials and Equipment Theme Index. The CSI Semiconductor Materials and Equipment Theme Index selects 40 listed securities of companies involved in semiconductor materials and equipment as index samples to reflect the overall performance of semiconductor materials and equipment listed securities.

Guojin Securities stated that strong AI demand is expected to drive memory chip prices to continue their strong rally in Q1 2026. The four major North American cloud service providers (CSPs) including Google, Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon AWS continue to expand AI infrastructure investments, with total investment in 2026 expected to reach a record high of $600 billion (approximately 4.2 trillion yuan).

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